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Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Uncertainty in Classification? Uncertainty refers to the model’s confidence or doubt in its predictions. Quantifying uncertainty is important to understand how reliable each prediction is. In multiclass classification , uncertainty estimates provide probabilities over multiple classes, reflecting how sure the model is about each possible class. 2. Methods to Estimate Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification Most multiclass classifiers provide methods such as: predict_proba: Returns a probability distribution across all classes. decision_function: Returns scores or margins for each class (sometimes called raw or uncalibrated confidence scores). The probability distribution from predict_proba captures the uncertainty by assigning a probability to each class. 3. Shape and Interpretation of predict_proba in Multiclass Output shape: (n_samples, n_classes) Each row corresponds to the probabilities of ...
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Polyspike and (slow) wave complexes

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Dr. Rishabh Pathak

Polyspike and wave complexes are specific patterns observed in electroencephalography (EEG) that are significant in the context of epilepsy.

Characteristics of Polyspike and Wave Complexes

1.      Definition:

o    Polyspike and wave complexes consist of multiple spikes followed by a slow wave. They are often indicative of generalized epilepsy syndromes and can be associated with various seizure types.

2.     Waveform Composition:

o    Polyspike Component: The polyspike component is characterized by a series of spikes that occur in rapid succession. These spikes can vary in amplitude and morphology but are typically sharp and well-defined.

o    Slow Wave Component: Following the polyspike bursts, there is a slow wave that is more rounded and gradual. The slow wave typically has a longer duration compared to the spikes and is often more prominent in the EEG.

3.     Frequency:

o    The frequency of polyspike and wave complexes can vary, but they are often seen at frequencies of 3 Hz or higher. The presence of multiple spikes in quick succession distinguishes them from simple spike and wave complexes.

4.    Clinical Context:

o    Generalized Epilepsy Syndromes: Polyspike and wave complexes are commonly associated with generalized epilepsy syndromes, such as Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy (JME) and Lennox-Gastaut syndrome. They can be indicative of a more severe form of epilepsy and may correlate with specific seizure types, including generalized tonic-clonic seizures and myoclonic jerks.

o    Absence Seizures: In some cases, polyspike and wave complexes can also be observed during absence seizures, particularly atypical absence seizures, where the EEG may show a mix of polyspikes and slow waves.

5.     EEG Findings:

o    On an EEG, polyspike and wave complexes appear as bursts of multiple spikes followed by a slow wave. These complexes can interrupt the background activity and are often more prominent in the frontal and central regions of the scalp.

6.    Significance:

o    The identification of polyspike and wave complexes is crucial for diagnosing generalized epilepsy syndromes. Their presence can indicate a more severe form of epilepsy and may guide treatment decisions, including the choice of antiepileptic medications.

Conclusion

Polyspike and wave complexes are important EEG patterns associated with generalized seizures, characterized by multiple spikes followed by slow waves. Recognizing these complexes is essential for accurate diagnosis and management of patients with epilepsy, particularly those with generalized epilepsy syndromes. Understanding their characteristics helps in differentiating them from other seizure types and tailoring appropriate treatment strategies.

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