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Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Uncertainty in Classification? Uncertainty refers to the model’s confidence or doubt in its predictions. Quantifying uncertainty is important to understand how reliable each prediction is. In multiclass classification , uncertainty estimates provide probabilities over multiple classes, reflecting how sure the model is about each possible class. 2. Methods to Estimate Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification Most multiclass classifiers provide methods such as: predict_proba: Returns a probability distribution across all classes. decision_function: Returns scores or margins for each class (sometimes called raw or uncalibrated confidence scores). The probability distribution from predict_proba captures the uncertainty by assigning a probability to each class. 3. Shape and Interpretation of predict_proba in Multiclass Output shape: (n_samples, n_classes) Each row corresponds to the probabilities of ...
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Needle Spikes compared to Focal Interictal Epileptiform Discharges

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Dr. Rishabh Pathak

When comparing needle spikes to focal interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs), several distinguishing features can be identified. Here are the key differences:

1. Morphology

    • Needle Spikes: Characterized by a sharp, pointed appearance with a brief duration. They have a "needle-like" waveform, which is typically less sharp than that of IEDs.
    • Focal IEDs: These often have a more complex morphology, typically consisting of a sharp wave followed by a slow wave. The sharp wave in IEDs is usually longer in duration and has a sharper contour compared to needle spikes.

2. Duration

    • Needle Spikes: Generally have a shorter duration, often lasting only a few milliseconds. They are considered brief events.
    • Focal IEDs: Typically have a longer duration, with a more consistent temporal relationship between the sharp wave and the slow wave that follows. The sharp wave of an IED occurs at a relatively fixed distance from the peak of the slow wave.

3. Amplitude

    • Needle Spikes: Usually exhibit low amplitude, often not exceeding the amplitude of the surrounding background activity. Their maximum amplitude can vary widely but is generally between 50 and 250 μV.
    • Focal IEDs: Tend to have a higher amplitude compared to needle spikes, making them more prominent in the EEG recording.

4. Location

    • Needle Spikes: Primarily observed in the occipital region, although they can also appear in the parietal regions. Their localization is often associated with visual impairment.
    • Focal IEDs: Can occur in various locations depending on the underlying pathology, and they are not restricted to the occipital region. They may be localized to specific areas of the brain that correspond to the patient's clinical symptoms.

5. Clinical Context

    • Needle Spikes: Often associated with congenital blindness or severe visual impairment. Their presence is typically benign in this context and may not indicate underlying epilepsy.
    • Focal IEDs: More likely to be associated with epilepsy and other neurological disorders. The presence of IEDs often suggests a higher risk of seizures and may indicate underlying pathology.

6. Co-occurring Patterns

    • Needle Spikes: Typically occur in EEGs that lack a normal alpha rhythm and may be accompanied by other sleep-related patterns, such as sleep spindles or K complexes.
    • Focal IEDs: Often occur in the context of other epileptiform activity and may be associated with a variety of background rhythms depending on the patient's state (awake or asleep).

Summary

In summary, needle spikes and focal interictal epileptiform discharges differ in their morphology, duration, amplitude, location, clinical context, and co-occurring patterns. Understanding these differences is crucial for accurate EEG interpretation and for determining the clinical significance of the observed patterns.

 

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