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Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Uncertainty in Classification? Uncertainty refers to the model’s confidence or doubt in its predictions. Quantifying uncertainty is important to understand how reliable each prediction is. In multiclass classification , uncertainty estimates provide probabilities over multiple classes, reflecting how sure the model is about each possible class. 2. Methods to Estimate Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification Most multiclass classifiers provide methods such as: predict_proba: Returns a probability distribution across all classes. decision_function: Returns scores or margins for each class (sometimes called raw or uncalibrated confidence scores). The probability distribution from predict_proba captures the uncertainty by assigning a probability to each class. 3. Shape and Interpretation of predict_proba in Multiclass Output shape: (n_samples, n_classes) Each row corresponds to the probabilities of ...
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Positive Occipital Sharp Transients of Sleep compared to Cone waves

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Dr. Rishabh Pathak

Positive Occipital Sharp Transients of Sleep (POSTS) and cone waves are both EEG patterns observed during sleep, but they have distinct characteristics, clinical significance, and implications. 

Positive Occipital Sharp Transients of Sleep (POSTS)

1.      Definition:

§  POSTS are sharp waveforms that occur predominantly in the occipital region during sleep, particularly in non-rapid eye movement (NREM) sleep.

2.     Waveform Characteristics:

§  They typically exhibit a triangular shape and can be monophasic or diphasic. The positive peak is prominent, followed by a negative potential of lower amplitude.

3.     Location:

§  Recorded primarily from the occipital leads (O1 and O2) of the EEG. They may also show phase reversals at these electrodes.

4.    Duration and Frequency:

§  Each transient lasts about 80 to 200 milliseconds and can occur as individual events or in trains of up to six per second. The trains usually last about 1 to 2 seconds.

5.     Clinical Significance:

§  Generally considered a normal variant in healthy individuals, especially in children and adolescents. They are not associated with any pathological conditions and are common in the EEGs of healthy adults.

6.    Age-Related Variability:

§  More prevalent in younger populations and become less common with age. Rarely observed in individuals over 70 years old.

Cone Waves

7.     Definition:

§  Cone waves are a type of EEG pattern that can be observed during sleep, characterized by a specific morphology that resembles a cone or a pointed shape.

8.    Waveform Characteristics:

§  Cone waves typically have a more pronounced peak and a rapid return to the baseline, creating a sharp, pointed appearance. They may not have the same triangular shape as POSTS.

9.    Location:

§  Cone waves can be recorded from various regions of the scalp, not limited to the occipital area. Their distribution may vary depending on the underlying condition or the specific context in which they are observed.

10.                        Duration and Frequency:

§  The duration and frequency of cone waves can vary, and they may not follow the same patterns of occurrence as POSTS. They can appear in bursts or as isolated events.

11.  Clinical Significance:

§  Cone waves may be associated with specific neurological conditions or sleep disorders, and their presence can indicate underlying pathology. Unlike POSTS, they may not be considered a normal variant and could warrant further investigation.

12. Age-Related Variability:

§  The occurrence of cone waves may not have the same age-related patterns as POSTS, and their clinical significance can vary widely based on the context in which they are observed.

Summary

In summary, while both Positive Occipital Sharp Transients of Sleep and cone waves are EEG patterns observed during sleep, they differ significantly in their characteristics, clinical implications, and associations with neurological conditions. POSTS are generally benign and common in healthy individuals, while cone waves may indicate underlying pathology and require careful interpretation in the context of the patient's clinical picture.

 

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