Skip to main content

Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Uncertainty in Classification? Uncertainty refers to the model’s confidence or doubt in its predictions. Quantifying uncertainty is important to understand how reliable each prediction is. In multiclass classification , uncertainty estimates provide probabilities over multiple classes, reflecting how sure the model is about each possible class. 2. Methods to Estimate Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification Most multiclass classifiers provide methods such as: predict_proba: Returns a probability distribution across all classes. decision_function: Returns scores or margins for each class (sometimes called raw or uncalibrated confidence scores). The probability distribution from predict_proba captures the uncertainty by assigning a probability to each class. 3. Shape and Interpretation of predict_proba in Multiclass Output shape: (n_samples, n_classes) Each row corresponds to the probabilities of ...
Post a Comment

Restricted Sampling

Image
Dr. Rishabh Pathak

Restricted sampling involves the application of specific criteria or restrictions during the selection of sample elements from the population. This approach allows researchers to tailor their sampling methods to account for certain characteristics or conditions within the population. Here are some key points about restricted sampling techniques:


1.    Stratified Sampling:

§  In this technique, the population is divided into homogeneous subgroups or strata based on certain characteristics (e.g., age, gender, income level). Samples are then selected independently from each stratum to ensure representation of different strata in the final sample. This helps in capturing the variability within the population and can lead to more precise estimates for subgroups.

2.    Cluster Sampling:

§  Cluster sampling involves dividing the population into clusters or groups (e.g., geographical areas, classrooms) and then randomly selecting entire clusters to be included in the sample. This method is useful when it is more practical to sample clusters rather than individual elements, especially in large and geographically dispersed populations.

3.    Systematic Sampling:

§  Systematic sampling involves selecting sample elements at regular intervals from a list or sequence after a random start. For example, every 5th person on a list may be selected for inclusion in the sample. This method introduces an element of randomness through the initial random start point, while still maintaining a systematic selection process.

4.    Quota Sampling:

§  Quota sampling involves setting quotas for different subgroups of the population based on specific characteristics. Interviewers then select sample elements to fill these quotas, ensuring that the final sample reflects the distribution of these characteristics in the population. Quota sampling is a non-probability sampling technique that allows for control over the composition of the sample.

5.    Advantages:

§  Restricted sampling techniques can help researchers ensure that certain subgroups or characteristics of interest are adequately represented in the sample. By stratifying or clustering the population, researchers can improve the precision of their estimates for specific groups within the population.

6.    Challenges:

§  Implementing restricted sampling techniques may require additional resources and planning compared to simple random sampling. Researchers need to carefully define the strata, clusters, or quotas to avoid bias and ensure the representativeness of the sample.

By incorporating restricted sampling techniques into their research designs, researchers can enhance the precision and relevance of their study findings by accounting for specific characteristics or conditions within the population. Each technique offers unique advantages and considerations, and the choice of method should align with the research objectives and the nature of the population under study.

 

 

Categories:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Relation of Model Complexity to Dataset Size

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
Core Concept The relationship between model complexity and dataset size is fundamental in supervised learning, affecting how well a model can learn and generalize. Model complexity refers to the capacity or flexibility of the model to fit a wide variety of functions. Dataset size refers to the number and diversity of training samples available for learning. Key Points 1. Larger Datasets Allow for More Complex Models When your dataset contains more varied data points , you can afford to use more complex models without overfitting. More data points mean more information and variety, enabling the model to learn detailed patterns without fitting noise. Quote from the book: "Relation of Model Complexity to Dataset Size. It’s important to note that model complexity is intimately tied to the variation of inputs contained in your training dataset: the larger variety of data points your dataset contains, the more complex a model you can use without overfitting....
Post a Comment
Read more

Linear Models

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What are Linear Models? Linear models are a class of models that make predictions using a linear function of the input features. The prediction is computed as a weighted sum of the input features plus a bias term. They have been extensively studied over more than a century and remain widely used due to their simplicity, interpretability, and effectiveness in many scenarios. 2. Mathematical Formulation For regression , the general form of a linear model's prediction is: y^ ​ = w0 ​ x0 ​ + w1 ​ x1 ​ + … + wp ​ xp ​ + b where; y^ ​ is the predicted output, xi ​ is the i-th input feature, wi ​ is the learned weight coefficient for feature xi ​ , b is the intercept (bias term), p is the number of features. In vector form: y^ ​ = wTx + b where w = ( w0 ​ , w1 ​ , ... , wp ​ ) and x = ( x0 ​ , x1 ​ , ... , xp ​ ) . 3. Interpretation and Intuition The prediction is a linear combination of features — each feature contributes prop...
Post a Comment
Read more

Predicting Probabilities

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Predicting Probabilities? The predict_proba method estimates the probability that a given input belongs to each class. It returns values in the range [0, 1] , representing the model's confidence as probabilities. The sum of predicted probabilities across all classes for a sample is always 1 (i.e., they form a valid probability distribution). 2. Output Shape of predict_proba For binary classification , the shape of the output is (n_samples, 2) : Column 0: Probability of the sample belonging to the negative class. Column 1: Probability of the sample belonging to the positive class. For multiclass classification , the shape is (n_samples, n_classes) , with each column corresponding to the probability of the sample belonging to that class. 3. Interpretation of predict_proba Output The probability reflects how confidently the model believes a data point belongs to each class. For example, in ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
1. What is Uncertainty in Classification? Uncertainty refers to the model’s confidence or doubt in its predictions. Quantifying uncertainty is important to understand how reliable each prediction is. In multiclass classification , uncertainty estimates provide probabilities over multiple classes, reflecting how sure the model is about each possible class. 2. Methods to Estimate Uncertainty in Multiclass Classification Most multiclass classifiers provide methods such as: predict_proba: Returns a probability distribution across all classes. decision_function: Returns scores or margins for each class (sometimes called raw or uncalibrated confidence scores). The probability distribution from predict_proba captures the uncertainty by assigning a probability to each class. 3. Shape and Interpretation of predict_proba in Multiclass Output shape: (n_samples, n_classes) Each row corresponds to the probabilities of ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Conducting a Qualitative Analysis

Dr. Rishabh Pathak
Conducting a qualitative analysis in biomechanics involves a systematic process of collecting, analyzing, and interpreting non-numerical data to gain insights into human movement patterns, behaviors, and interactions. Here are the key steps involved in conducting a qualitative analysis in biomechanics: 1.     Data Collection : o     Use appropriate data collection methods such as video recordings, observational notes, interviews, or focus groups to capture qualitative information about human movement. o     Ensure that data collection is conducted in a systematic and consistent manner to gather rich and detailed insights. 2.     Data Organization : o     Organize the collected qualitative data systematically, such as transcribing interviews, categorizing observational notes, or indexing video recordings for easy reference during analysis. o     Use qualitative data management tools or software to f...
Post a Comment
Read more